「中国株式市場のバブルは崩壊した」IMFが見解 世界経済見通しを下方修正

IMFは大幅な株価の下落が続いた中国の株式市場について「バブルが崩壊した」と述べると共に、影響は「現段階では主要な問題とはならない」との見方を示した。
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International Monetary Fund Economic Counsellor and Director of Research Department Olivier Blanchard speaks during a press briefing on the world economic outlook at IMF Headquarters on April 8, 2014 in Washington, DC. The International Monetary Fund cut its growth forecast for the global economy Tuesday, pointing to the threat from the Ukraine crisis and the slowdown in major emerging economies. The IMF said the world's two largest economies, the United States and China, continue to anchor expected growth of 3.6 percent this year and 3.9 percent in 2015. AFP PHOTO/Mandel NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)
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IMF(国際通貨基金)は7月9日、2015年の経済見通しを発表し、今年の世界の成長率の予測を下方修正した。また、大幅な株価の下落が続いた中国の株式市場について「バブルが崩壊した」と述べると共に、影響は「現段階では主要な問題とはならない」との見方を示した。BBCなどが報じた。

IMFは成長率の予測をこれまでより0.2%引き下げて3.3%のプラスと予測した。

IMFのオリビエ・ブランシャール調査局長は記者会見で、1カ月足らずで約32%下落した上海総合株価指数について、「(中国株式市場の)バブルは崩壊した」と述べ、中国の個人消費の落ち込みなどが予想される一方で、アメリカと比べると市場の規模が小さいことから世界経済への影響は限定的との見方を示した。

中国株式市場は大幅な株価の下落が続き、7月上旬までの3週間で時価総額3兆2000億ドル(約392兆円)が失われた。これは本土の証券取引所で1分間に約10億ドル(約1213億円)ずつ失われた計算だ。

中国本土の証券取引所で8日までに少なくとも1323銘柄の売買が停止され、時価総額で2兆6000億ドル(約320兆円)相当、市場全体で約71%の株式が売買停止もしくはストップ安となる事態となった。全上場企業の6割近い約1600社が自社株の売買停止を申請したとみられる。

中国の証券監視当局は利下げや空売り規制、信用取引の拡大、証券会社による株価下支えなどの対策を講じたほか、大株主や経営幹部に6カ月間持ち株の売却を禁じる異例の措置をとった。メディアに対しては「暴騰」や「崩壊」といった言葉を使わずに公式発表を適切に報道するよう通達し、引き締めを一段と強めている。9日の中国株式市場は反発し、当局の措置がひとまず効を奏した形だが、急落傾向に歯止めがかかったとは言えない状況が続く。

中国株式市場の混乱
China Financial Markets(01 of25)
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A Chinese stock investor smiles at a brokerage in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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A Chinese investor monitors stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
China Financial Markets(03 of25)
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Chinese investors monitor stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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Chinese investors monitor stock prices at a brokerage firm in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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A Chinese investor uses a magnifying glass to look at his mobile phone screen as he monitors stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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Chinese investors monitor stock prices at a brokerage firm in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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Chinese investors monitor stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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Chinese investors chat while monitoring stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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A Chinese stock investor uses a magnifying glass to look at his mobile phone screen as he monitors stock prices at a brokerage in Beijing, China, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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People walk outside of a stock brokerage displaying the values of the Shanghai, top, and Shenzhen stock indexes in Beijing, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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A man stretches Chinese stock investors monitor the stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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People walk outside of a stock brokerage displaying the values of the Shanghai, top, and Shenzhen stock indexes in Beijing, Thursday, July 9, 2015. Asian stock markets continued to react on Thursday as the Chinese government took measures aimed at stabilizing the market. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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A man leaves as stock investors monitor the stock prices at a brokerage house in Beijing, China, Wednesday, July 8, 2015. China\'s central bank has promised more credit to finance stock trading in the latest move aimed at stopping a plunge in stock prices that has prompted hundreds of companies to suspend trading in their shares. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
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An investor walks past screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor looks at screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor looks at stock prices on her smart phone near screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor looks at screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor looks at a personal terminal at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor walks towards screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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An investor looks at screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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A man sits in front of screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)
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Investors look at screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on July 9, 2015. China\'s market regulator has barred major shareholders and executives of listed companies from selling their shares for the next six months, it said in a statement, the latest government action to stem a slide in the markets. AFP PHOTO / GREG BAKER (Photo credit should read GREG BAKER/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:GREG BAKER via Getty Images)

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