オリンピック開催地予想、アルジャジーラがマドリード失速と報じた理由とは?

2020年のオリンピック開催地がいよいよ発表される。東京優勢と見られていたが、ここにきて勢いをやや失い、マドリードに勢いが出てきているという見方もある。しかし、
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2020年のオリンピック開催地がいよいよ発表される。東京優勢と見られていたが、ここにきて勢いをやや失い、マドリードに勢いが出てきているという見方もある。しかし、逆に今マドリードが失速しているという報道も出てきている。マドリード優勢は変わらないのか。その動きを紹介する。

■マドリード優勢報道の例

NHKニュースは、マドリード優勢とする現地の声を報じている。オリンピックを専門に取材するインターネットメディアの記者は「東京は福島第一原子力発電所の汚染水問題を抱えているが、各都市ともに課題があるなかで厳しいといわれるマドリードの経済問題が一番リスクが少ないと受け止められているようだ」と話している。

また、アメリカの通信社の記者は「東京とマドリードの争いだと感じるが、このところマドリードの話をよく聞く。東京は原発の汚染水の問題とセットで話題に上ることが多いように思う」と話しているという。

9月4日付のスペイン紙エルムンドは、マドリードがIOC委員の半分以上に当たる50人(投票権を持たない委員を除く)からの支持を得たと報じた。この中には、IOC会長に立候補すると言われているセルゲイ・ブブカ委員の名前もある。

■スペイン失速との報道の例

アルジャジーラは、エルムンド誌がマドリードに投票するとした何人かの委員の名前を、写真付きで報じたことで、投票直前の9月7日土曜日の動きが弱まっていると報じている。2005年に、フランス紙のル・パリジャンが似たようなことを行ったが、結果はロンドンの勝利となった。エルムンドの動きを「lead balloon(鉛の風船:大失敗)」と話すIOCメンバーもいるという。

IOCの委員がリークを嫌うのは、過去の例があるからということだけが原因ではなさそうだ。朝日新聞GLOBEは、現在繰り広げられている2020年オリンピック招致合戦には、他の2つの“選挙”の思惑も複雑に絡み合っていると報じている。

他の2つの選挙とは、2020年のオリンピックで実施される競技、そして、ICOの会長選挙である。それぞれの選挙に対する戦略と各委員の思惑の例を、次のように紹介している。

会長選で本命視されるドイツのトーマス・バッハ(59)が当選したら、2024年の夏季五輪を欧州に持って来たがるだろう。その場合、20年は欧州から遠い都市を選びたいに違いない。だから、東京は招致を実現するために、バッハと手を結べるのではないか?

(朝日新聞GLOBE「三つの思惑が絡み合うパワーゲーム」より。 2013/08/04)

■東京2020招致委員会の動き

いっぽう、MSN産経ニュースは、東京招致委員会の動きを次のように報じている。

東京の招致幹部は5日夜、「1回目の投票が2位でも、僅差でマドリードに食いつければ、決選投票を制すことはできる」と分析。IOC委員が宿泊するブエノスアイレス市内のホテルでは、日本人唯一のIOC委員である東京招致委の竹田恒和理事長らが、東京に好意的な委員を中心に「支持」を粘り強く働きかけている。

(MSN産経ニュース「失点少なくマドリードが“風”を受けてIOC総会へ 東京は決選投票狙い」 2013/9/6 23:37)

猪瀬直樹東京都知事は、6日ブエノスアイレスで開かれた記者会見で、原発の汚染水漏れ問題に関して「政府が責任を持つことを短期間で示した」と強調した。「風評がメディアを覆っている」と指摘した上で「都内の大気中の放射線量などは英語で公表している。フェアな情報をきちんと提供すれば、ほとんどの問題は解決する」「日常的に放射線量も公開しているが、ニューヨークとロンドンと数値に全く変わりがない。こちらもフェアな情報をきちんと提供する。そうすればほとんどの問題は解決する」と訴えた

「招致の流れは東京に確実に引き寄せられていると実感している」と手応えを口にした猪瀬知事。開催地の発表は日本時間9月8日早朝。どの都市に決定されるのか、注目が集まる。

【発表までのスケジュール(日本時間)】

■9月7日(土)

・20時45分〜 IOC会長挨拶

・21時〜10時10分 イスタンブール プレゼンテーション及び質疑応答

・22時25分〜 イスタンブール 記者会見

・23時55分〜 東京 記者会見

■9月8日(日)

・深夜0時〜1時10分 マドリード プレゼンテーションおよび質疑応答

・1時25分〜 マドリード 記者会見

・3時45分〜 投票

・5時〜 2020年オリンピック開催地発表

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BUENOS AIRES, ARGENTINA - SEPTEMBER 05: Yuko Arimori talks to the media during a Tokyo 2020 Bid Committee press conference ahead of the 125th IOC Session at Sheraton Buenos Aires Hotel and Conveention Centre on September 5, 2013 in Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Photo by Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
125th IOC Session Buenos Aires - 2020 Olympics Host City Announcement(53 of58)
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BUENOS AIRES, ARGENTINA - SEPTEMBER 07: Governor of Tokyo, Naoki Inose speaks during the Tokyo 2020 bid presentation during the 125th IOC Session - 2020 Olympics Host City Announcement at Hilton Hotel on September 7, 2013 in Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Photo by Ian Walton/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
125th IOC Session Buenos Aires - 2020 Olympics Host City Announcement(54 of58)
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BUENOS AIRES, ARGENTINA - SEPTEMBER 07: Prime Minister Shinzo Abe speaks during the Tokyo 2020 bid presentation during the 125th IOC Session - 2020 Olympics Host City Announcement at Hilton Hotel on September 7, 2013 in Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Photo by Pool/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
2020年五輪招致・五輪開催を願うキャンドルアート(55 of58)
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2020年の五輪東京開催願い、増上寺境内に灯されたキャンドルアート=5日午後、東京都港区 (credit:時事通信社)
2020年五輪招致・五輪開催を願うキャンドルアート(56 of58)
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2020年の五輪東京開催願い、増上寺境内に灯されたキャンドルアート=5日午後、東京都港区 (credit:時事通信社)
金色にライトアップされたスカイツリー(57 of58)
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東京スカイツリーが24日夜、2020年五輪招致をテーマに、東京都墨田区の小学生から募集したデザインを点灯し、金色にライトアップされた。五輪開催都市の決まる前夜の9月7日まで行われる。 (credit:時事通信社)
125th IOC Session In Buenos Aires - Day 3(58 of58)
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BUENOS AIRES, ARGENTINA - SEPTEMBER 06: Prince Felipe of Spain and Princess Letizia of Spain attend the Opening Ceremony of the 125th IOC Session at Teatro Colon on September 6, 2013 in Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
2012年 ロンドン五輪 ハイライト
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(01 of21)
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epa03320379 Fireworks lights the sky over the Tower Bridge in London during the Opening Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games, London, Britain, 27 July 2012. The 2012 Summer Olympic Games will be held in London from 27 July to 12 August 2012. EPA/ROBIN UTRECHT (credit:EPA時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(02 of21)
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epa03320281 Britain\'s Queen Elizabeth II (C) and her husband Prince Philip (R), Duke of Edinburgh and the President of the International Olympic Committee Count Jacques Rogge (L) seen on the stands during the Opening Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games, London, Britain, 27 July 2012. The 2012 Summer Olympic Games will be held in London from 27 July to 12 August 2012. EPA/MICHAEL KAPPELER (credit:EPA時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(03 of21)
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epa03320394 Performers during the Opening Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games, London, Britain, 27 July 2012. EPA/IAN LANGSDON (credit:EPA時事)
ロンドン五輪開会式・川を疾走する聖火(04 of21)
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五輪スタジアムの横を流れる川をボートで疾走する聖火=2012年7月27日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(05 of21)
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epa03320932 Performers in the Olympic Stadium during the Opening Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games in London, Britain, 27 July 2012. The 2012 London Olympic Games run through the closing ceremony on 12 August. EPA/DENNIS M. SABANGAN (credit:EPA時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(06 of21)
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epa03320952 Fireworks explode over the Olympic Stadium during the Opening Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games in London, Britain, 27 July 2012. The 2012 London Olympic Games run through the closing ceremony on 12 August. EPA/DENNIS M. SABANGAN (credit:EPA時事)
ロンドン五輪・三宅のジャーク(07 of21)
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重量挙げ女子48キロ級、銀メダルを獲得した三宅宏実のジャーク=2012年7月28日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・笑顔を見せるアーチェリー女子日本チーム(08 of21)
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銅メダルを獲得し笑顔を見せる、アーチェリー女子団体の(左から)早川漣、蟹江美貴、川中香緒里(イギリス・ロンドン)\n撮影日:2012年07月29日 (credit:AFP時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(09 of21)
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epa03327026 Kaori Matsumoto of Japan (white) fights with Corina Caprioriu of Romania in the Women -57 kg gold medal match at the London 2012 Olympic Games Judo competition, London, Britain, 30 July 2012. EPA/CHRISTOPHE KARABA (credit:EPA時事)
ロンドン五輪・4位に終わった北島(10 of21)
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競泳男子200メートル平泳ぎ決勝を終え4位に終わった北島康介=2012年8月1日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・銀メダルを獲得した入江(11 of21)
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競泳男子200メートル背泳ぎの銀メダルを胸に歓声に応える入江陵介=2012年8月2日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・2位に喜ぶ男子メドレーチーム(12 of21)
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競泳男子400メートルメドレーリレー決勝で2位になり喜ぶ(上左から)入江陵介、松田丈志、北島康介。下は藤井拓郎=2012年8月4日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・内村の演技(13 of21)
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体操男子種目別ゆか決勝。内村航平の演技=2012年8月5日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・歓喜の日本チーム(14 of21)
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フェンシング男子フルーレ団体で決勝進出を決め喜ぶ太田雄貴(左から3人目)ら日本チーム(イギリス・ロンドン)\n撮影日:2012年08月05日 (credit:EPA時事)
ロンドン五輪サッカー女子決勝・アメリカ-日本/ドリブルする大野(15 of21)
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アメリカ戦の前半、ドリブルする大野忍(手前)=2012年8月9日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・吉田を肩車する栄監督(16 of21)
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スリング女子フリースタイル55キロ級で優勝した吉田沙保里(左)を肩車する栄和人監督=2012年08月09日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪バレーボール女子3位決定戦・日本-韓国/喜ぶ木村ら(17 of21)
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韓国に勝利し、喜ぶ木村沙織(中央上)、荒木絵里香(右)、迫田さおり(左)ら=2012年08月11日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
ロンドン五輪・両手を挙げる村田(18 of21)
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ボクシング男子ミドル級決勝の試合が終わり、勝利をアピールする村田諒太(手前)。奥はエスキバ・フロレンティノ(ブラジル)(英国・ロンドン)\n撮影日:2012年08月11日 (credit:AFP時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES (19 of21)
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epa03360571 Scottish singer Annie Lennox performs during the Closing Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games, London, Britain, 12 August 2012. EPA/BERND THISSEN (credit:EPA時事)
BRITAIN LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC GAMES(20 of21)
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epa03360859 A general view during the Closing Ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games, London, Britain, 12 August 2012. EPA/FACUNDO ARRIZABALAGA (credit:EPA時事)
ロンドン五輪・熱演するザ・フー(21 of21)
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閉会式のフィナーレで熱演するザ・フーのロジャー・ダルトリー(左)とピート・タウンゼント=2012年08月12日、イギリス・ロンドン (credit:時事通信社)
東京オリンピック(1964) 画像集
東京五輪(01 of29)
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スタンドで観戦する読売巨人軍の長嶋茂雄(中央右)と王貞治(同左)(東京・国立競技場) \n\n撮影日: 1964/10 (credit:時事通信社)
Japanese Royals(02 of29)
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Crown Prince Akihito of Japan watches the start of the marathon at the 1964 Tokyo Olympics, accompanied by his wife Michiko and their son Naruhito (known as Prince Hiro). (Photo by Central Press/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Central Press via Getty Images)
Opening Ceremonies(03 of29)
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Pictured here is Tokyo Stadium at the opening ceremonies of the 1964 Summer Olympics in Tokyo, Japan, Oct. 10, 1964. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
1964 Summer Olympics(04 of29)
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Vapor trails from Japanese Air Force jets from the Olympic emblem of five rings above the National Stadium in Tokyo today for the official opening of the XVIII Olympiad, first even held in Asia, Oct. 10, 1964. More than 7,000 athletes from 94 nations are competing. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Opening Ceremonies(05 of29)
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Pictured here is Tokyo Stadium at the opening ceremonies of the 1964 Summer Olympics in Tokyo, Japan, Oct. 10, 1964. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Postage stamp commemorating Tokyo Olympics(06 of29)
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JAPAN - SEPTEMBER 06: Postage stamp commemorating the Tokyo Olympics, 1964, depicting the Olympic flame. Japan, 20th century. Japan (Photo by DeAgostini/Getty Images) (credit:DEA / A. DAGLI ORTI via Getty Images)
Postage stamp commemorating Tokyo Olympics(07 of29)
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JAPAN - SEPTEMBER 06: Postage stamp commemorating the Tokyo Olympics, 1964, depicting weight lifting. Japan, 20th century. Japan (Photo by DeAgostini/Getty Images) (credit:DEA / A. DAGLI ORTI via Getty Images)
Postage stamp commemorating Tokyo Olympics(08 of29)
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JAPAN - SEPTEMBER 06: Postage stamp commemorating the Tokyo Olympics, 1964, depicting football match. Japan, 20th century. Japan (Photo by DeAgostini/Getty Images) (credit:DEA / A. DAGLI ORTI via Getty Images)
Postage stamp commemorating Tokyo Olympics(09 of29)
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JAPAN - SEPTEMBER 06: Postage stamp commemorating the Tokyo Olympics, 1964, depicting horse riding, swimming, fencing, running and pistol shooting. Japan, 20th century. Japan (Photo by DeAgostini/Getty Images) (credit:DEA / A. DAGLI ORTI via Getty Images)
Olympic Summer 1964 Tokyo Japan Olympis Stadium Opening Ceremony(10 of29)
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Aerial view of the Olympic stadium in Tokyo on Oct. 10, 1964 as teams of the countries represented filed in for the ceremonial opening of the Olympic Games. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Yoyogi National Gymnasium(11 of29)
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An aerial view of the Yoyogi National Gymnasium, circa 1965. Designed by Kenzo Tange to house the swimming and diving events in the 1964 Tokyo Olympics, it is now a major venue for basketball and ice hockey. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Three Lions via Getty Images)
Olympic Village(12 of29)
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The construction of the National Gymnasium of the Olympic Village at Yoyogi in Tokyo, where the athletes will live for the duration of the games, 6th June 1964. The building was designed by Japanese architect Kenzo Tange. (Photo by Keystone/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Keystone via Getty Images)
東京オリンピック準備(13 of29)
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駒沢は明治神宮外苑について東京大会の第2会場となる。右上はサッカーが行われる陸上競技場。左下はレスリング会場となる体育館(東京・世田谷区)\n\n撮影日:1964年03月 (credit:時事通信社)
Opening Ceremonies(14 of29)
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Pictured here are the festivities at the opening ceremony of the 1964 Summer Olympics in Tokyo, Japan, Oct. 10, 1964. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
東京五輪・開会式 (15 of29)
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東京五輪開会式で入場する日本選手団(東京・国立競技場) \n\n撮影日: 1964/10/10 (credit:時事通信社)
Tokyo Olympic Opening Ceremony(16 of29)
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TOKYO - OCTOBER 10: The Olympic flag is being carried during the opening ceremony of the Tokyo Olympic at the National Stadium on October 10, 1964 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Sankei Archive via Getty Images) (credit:Sankei Archive via Getty Images)
Torch Lighting(17 of29)
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Pictured here are the stairs leading the Olympic Torch at Tokyo Stadium at the opening ceremonies of the 1964 Summer Olympics in Tokyo, Japan, Oct. 10, 1964. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
The 1964 Tokyo Olympic Opening Ceremony(18 of29)
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TOKYO, JAPAN - OCTOBER 10: The Olympic fflag flies over the scoreboard showing the list of the parade of Nations during the opening ceremonies for the XVIII Olympiad at the Olympic Stadium on October 10, 1964 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Michael Ochs Archive/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** (credit:Getty Images)
Olympic Village(19 of29)
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Members of the Tokyo Olympic Committee make a final inspection of the Olympic Village at Yoyogi in Tokyo, where the athletes will live for the duration of the games, 1964. The site, formerly called Washington Heights, was once home to US soldiers and their families. (Photo by Keystone/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
Olympic Village(20 of29)
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The National Gymnasium of the Olympic Village at Yoyogi in Tokyo, where the athletes will live for the duration of the games, 1964. (Photo by Keystone Features/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
Pole Vaulting Of John Pennel At The Olympic Games Of Tokyo In 1964(21 of29)
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JAPAN - JANUARY 01: Pole Vaulting Of The American John Pennel Fro The Final Of The Olympic Games Of Tokyo In 1964. (Photo by Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
Polina Astakhova(22 of29)
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Soviet gymnast Polina Astakhova of the Ukraine after a training session before the Tokyo Olympics, 8th October 1964. (Photo by Hulton Archive/Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
Shuji Tsurumi With Rings At The Olympic Games Of Tokyo 1964(23 of29)
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JAPAN - APRIL 18: The Japanese Shuji Tsurimi With Rings At The Olympic Games Of Tokyo On October 19, 1964. (Photo by Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images) (credit:Getty Images)
1964 Summer Olympics(24 of29)
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1964 Summer Olympics -- Pictured: Japanese spectators outside the Olympic Stadium in Tokyo, Japan -- Photo by: NBCU Photo Bank (credit:Getty Images)
Japan Tokyo Streets(25 of29)
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The changing face of Tokyo shows itself in this view which includes the gigantic Miyake-Zaka underground highway interchange on April 13, 1964. It is one of many construction jobs through which Tokyo is preparing for the Olympics opening next October and for its future growth. Roads and subways being built are behind the needs. (AP Photo/Koichiro Morita) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Tokyo Japan Streets(26 of29)
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In a race to catch up with traffic, work is rushed on a mammoth highway interchange at Miyake Zaka in Tokyo on April 13, 1964. When the $34 million project is completed, two arterial highways will crisscross underground. Much of the road construction in Tokyo is done at night as the city gets ready for the Olympics opening in October. (AP Photo/Koichiro Morita) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Japan Tokyo Streets(27 of29)
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New freeways are rushed on Dec. 16, 1963 as part of the gigantic face-lifting Tokyo is getting for the Olympics opening in October 1964. Buildings and bridges also are going up so fast that some critics warn that safety sometimes is passed up. An elevated expressway and a swimming pool roof under construction collapsed with one death and 25 injuries. (AP Photo) (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Olympic HQ(28 of29)
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September 1964: Olympic cars lined up outside the old palace in Tokyo which is the headquarters of the Olympic Committee. (Photo by Douglas Miller/Keystone Features/Getty Images) (credit:Douglas Miller via Getty Images)
Emblems Of The Olympic Games And Of The City Of Tokyo On The Shops 1959(29 of29)
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JAPAN - JUNE 01: The Shop Keepers Installing The Emblems Of The Olympic Games And Of The City Of Tokyo Next To One Another For The Coming Games Which Would Take Place In The Japanese Capital On June 1, 1964. (Photo by Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images) (credit:Keystone-France via Getty Images)