気候変動による「水ストレス」が世界を脅かす 世界有数の水輸入大国・日本も高リスク

水を安定的に、そして十分に供給することはこれからますます難しくなる。それは人口増に伴う地球温暖化の影響による。新しいデータによると、世界の37カ国がすでに「極めて高いレベルの水ストレス」状態に直面している。
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Open Image Modal
WRI

水を安定的に、そして十分に供給することはこれからますます難しくなる。それは人口増に伴う地球温暖化の影響による。新しいデータによると、世界の37カ国がすでに「極めて高いレベルの水ストレス」状態に直面している。

水ストレス」とは、1人当たり年間使用可能水量が1700トンを下回り、日常生活に不便を感じる状態を指す。ワシントンにある環境研究組織の世界資源研究所(WRI)は12月12日、「アキダクト(水道)・プロジェクト」のデータを発表した。水ストレスが極めて高いレベルとは、年間を通じて国内の農業用水、家庭用水、工業用水を十分に利用できない人が80%以上で、その地域の水不足が非常に高い状態に陥っていることを意味する。

「水ストレスは世界中の国に深刻な結果をもたらす」と、WRIの「アキダクト・プロジェクト」にかかわってるポール・レイグ氏はハフィントンポストの取材にこう答えた。「気候変動による干ばつ、洪水、そして限られた資源の供給をめぐる競争によって国の経済とエネルギー生産が脅かされる。そして人々の生命すら危険にさらすことになる。もし世界各国が、そして国際レベルの政策決定者が、水ストレスは一番深刻な問題だとより明確に理解を示せば、今、水ストレスの危険性の高い地域に注意を向け、対策の予算をかけることができるだろう」

「アキダクト・プロジェクト」の研究者は、世界にある100の河川流域と181カ国で水に関するリスクを調査した。国レベルでこういった水に関する評価が行われたのは初めてのことだ。地域を基準として、数年単位で発生する水ストレス、洪水、干ばつの経年変動(年を経ることで測定値などに現れる変化)と季節変動(1年の季節のなかで測定値などに現れる変化)、そして毎年の河川や水路、帯水層にある水量をくわしく調査し、WRIはそれぞれの国に0〜5のスコア付けをした。5は、水リスクがもっとも高いレベルとなる。

水ストレスの基準値は、1年で再生利用できる水も含めた年間水量の割合に基づく。WRIが作成した図によると、高いパーセンテージになるほど水の供給が限定され、水の奪い合いが激化していくことがわかる。

Open Image Modal

また、WRIは最新のデータを使用した詳細なインタラクティブマップ(双方向の地図)を作成した。マップはここで見られる

WRIによると、国にとって重要なのは水不足のリスクを理解することであり、極端に高いレベルの水ストレスによって国がそのまま水危機の餌食になるというわけではない、という。適切な水管理と国同士の対話が、国の水供給を保障することになる。

「このようなランキングが公表されれば、水ストレスがもっと高い地域に注目が集まるいいきっかけとなる」とレイグ氏は述べている。「農業、工業、そして行政分野で国際レベルの政策決定者が、この情報を基にもっとも困難な地域を見分けることができるし、水管理、そして水の安全保障を改善するための協力ができるだろう」

シンガポールを例に取ってみよう。WRIによると、シンガポールは水ストレスのランキングがもっとも高い(5.0)。人口が過密状態であることと、湖や帯水層から十分な淡水が得られないことがその理由だ。そして、天然水の供給が過剰に求められていることも原因となっている。

しかし、シンガポールは非常に優れた水管理を行っており、淡水の需要を十分に満たしているとWRIはブログで指摘している

シンガポールは雨水を採取するシステムが非常に優れており、シンガポール国内の水供給の20%をまかなっている。40%はマレーシアからの輸入、30%は家庭から出る排水の再利用、残り10%は海水の脱塩生産で、国内全体の需要を満たしている。このように先進的で革新的な管理計画によって、水ストレスの基準が深刻な状態に陥っているとしても、シンガポールの産業、農業、そして国内の利用者に対して安定した水供給が可能にになっている。

■ 日本は世界有数の「水」輸入大国

水資源が豊富と思われている日本も、実は水ストレスが高い国である。日本の水ストレス平均スコアは3.1。農業は2.9、国内使用分は3.3、工業は3.2である。これは、WRIの分類によると高リスク(40〜80%)の水ストレスに分類される。

日本の年平均降水量は1718mm(1971年から2000年にかけての平均値)で、世界平均(880mm)の約2倍に相当する。にもかかわらず日本は世界有数の「水輸入国」である。これは、実際に水そのものを輸入している割合を指すのではなく、食料を輸入している日本が、国内で食料を生産した場合に必要な水を必要とする割合を意味する。これを「バーチャルウォーター(仮想水)」といい、食料の輸入は、形を変えて水を輸入していると考えられる。

環境省は、バーチャールウォーターの現状について次のように述べている。

日本のカロリーベースの食料自給率は40%程度ですから、日本人は海外の水に依存して生きているといえます。つまり、日本はバーチャルウォーターの輸入を通じて海外とつながっており、海外での水不足や水質汚濁等の水問題は、日本と無関係ではないのです。

2005年において、海外から日本に輸入されたバーチャルウォーター量は、約800億m³であり、その大半は食料に起因しています。これは、日本国内で使用される年間水使用量と同程度です。

(環境省「Virtual water 世界の水が私たちの生活を支えています」より)

では、WRIの調査による、もっとも水ストレスの高い国19の国・地域をスライドショーで見てみよう。

世界でもっとも水リスクにさらされている国・地域19
(01 of19)
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西サハラ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/該当なし、国内/5.0、工業/該当なし) (credit:Getty)
(02 of19)
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アラブ首長国連邦\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(03 of19)
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トリニダード・トバゴ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(04 of19)
Open Image Modal
シンガポール\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0 \n\n(農業/該当なし、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(05 of19)
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サンマリノ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(06 of19)
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セントビンセント・グレナディーン\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/該当なし、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(07 of19)
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アンティグア・バーブータ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(08 of19)
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セントルシア\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(09 of19)
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カタール\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(10 of19)
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北キプロス\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(11 of19)
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マルタ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(12 of19)
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ジャマイカ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(13 of19)
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ドミニカ\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(14 of19)
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キプロス\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(15 of19)
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コモロ諸島\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(16 of19)
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バルバドス\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(17 of19)
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バーレーン\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(18 of19)
Open Image Modal
サウジアラビア\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/4.9、工業/5.0) (credit:Getty)
(19 of19)
Open Image Modal
クウェート\n\n水ストレス基準平均スコア 5.0\n\n(農業/5.0、国内/5.0、工業/4.9) (credit:Getty)

各国の「水ストレス」ランキングは、WRIのインタラクティブマップを参照のこと

原文はこちら

ハフィントンポスト日本版はFacebook ページでも情報発信しています

「気候変動の影響がわかる写真集」
Fragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperColli(01 of20)
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Muir Glacier Shrinkage, Alaska, USA\nAugust 1941\n (credit:HarperCollins)
Muir Glacier Shrinkage, Alaska, USA(02 of20)
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September 2004\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Briksdalsbreen Glacier Retreat, Norway(03 of20)
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May 2004\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Briksdalsbreen Glacier Retreat, Norway(04 of20)
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July 2009\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Tidal Problems, Venice, Italy(05 of20)
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May 2008\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
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November 2009\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Amazon Deforestation, Rondônia, Brazil(07 of20)
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January 2000\n\n\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Amazon Deforestation, Rondônia, Brazil(08 of20)
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January 2003\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Amazon Deforestation, Rondônia, Brazil(09 of20)
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January 2006\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Amazon Deforestation, Rondônia, Brazil(10 of20)
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January 2009\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Wildfire, Yellowstone National Park, USA(11 of20)
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August 1987\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Wildfire, Yellowstone National Park, USA(12 of20)
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August 1989\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Wildfire, Yellowstone National Park, USA(13 of20)
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July 1997\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Wildfire, Yellowstone National Park, USA(14 of20)
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September 2008\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Draining of the Mesopotamian Marshlands, Iraq(15 of20)
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May 2005\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
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June 2005\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Urbanization, Dubai, United Arab Emirates(17 of20)
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November 2000\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Urbanization, Dubai, United Arab Emirates(18 of20)
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November 2004\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Urbanization, Dubai, United Arab Emirates(19 of20)
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March 2007\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
Urbanization, Dubai, United Arab Emirates(20 of20)
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February 2010\r\n\r\n\r\nFragile Earth app pictures courtesy of HarperCollins (credit:HarperCollins)
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Thanksgiving Dinner Food Comas(19 of25)
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A 2010 paper in the journal Food Research International found that climate change may one day affect the cost and quality of traditional Thanksgiving dishes, reported Discovery News.\n\nFuture temperature rises could impact the quality of turkey meat. Additionally, foods like \"pumpkins, sweet potatoes, potatoes, grains [and] green beans ... will be sensitive to water shortages should they arise,\" study author Neville Gregory told Discovery News.\n\nIn fact, common Thanksgiving foods were impacted by weather events in 2011, with shortages and price spikes hitting over the holidays. (credit:Flickr: ilovebutter)
"Lady & The Tramp"-Like Scenes(20 of25)
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Scientists at the British Met Office warn that Italy may soon be forced to import the basic ingredients to make pasta because climate change will make it impossible to grow durum wheat domestically. The crop could almost disappear from the country later this century, scientists say. (credit:Flickr: CyboRoZ)
Super Duper Fast Wi-Fi Connection(21 of25)
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A 2011 report from the U.K.\'s Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs found that climate change could affect certain infrastructure, like wireless internet. The Guardian reports, \"higher temperatures can reduce the range of wireless communications, rainstorms can impact the reliability of the signal, and drier summers and wetter winters may cause greater subsidence, damaging masts and underground cables,\" according to secretary of state for the environment.\n\nThe Guardian notes, \"The government acknowledges that the impact of climate change on telecommunications is not well understood, but the report raises a series of potential risks.\" (credit:Getty)
The Great Smoky Mountains' Smoke(22 of25)
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The Great Smoky Mountains have the most annual rainfall in the southeastern U.S., which mostly falls as a light, misty rain, explains OurAmazingPlanet.\n\nA study by a team from NASA\'s Precipitation Measurement Missions found that \"light rainfall is the dominant form of precipitation in the region, accounting for 50 to 60 percent of a year\'s total, governing the regional water cycle.\" \n\nOurAmazingPlanet notes: \n
The results suggest the area may be more susceptible to climate change than thought; as temperatures rise, more of the fine droplets from light rain will evaporate in the air and fail to reach the ground. Lower elevations will have to contend with not only higher temperatures, but less cloud cover.
(credit:Flickr: scmikeburton)
California Beach Bums(23 of25)
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Along the California coast, beach communities are finding that it may be impossible to stop coastal erosion as global sea levels rise. \n\nAccording to AP, David Revell, a senior coastal scientist at ESA PWA, acknowledged the relentless power of the sea, saying, \"I like to think of it as getting out of the way gracefully.\"\n\nA report released in June by the Natural Resources Defense Council found that West Coast ocean levels will rise several inches in the next few decades. Sea levels along the California coast are expected to be six inches higher by 2030 and three feet higher by the end of the century.\n\nDespite the risks, another recent NRDC study found that California is one of several states with the best plans to deal with the effects of climate change. (credit:Flickr: bdearth)
Repeats Of The Titanic(24 of25)
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2012 could be a record year for the extent of Arctic sea ice at its yearly summer minimum. Walt Meier, a research scientist at the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center, said that with recent satellite observations, \"It definitely portends a low-ice year, whether it means it will go below 2007 (the record minimum in September), it is too early to tell,\" reported LiveScience.\n\nAs sea ice declines in the Arctic, countries are anticipating a competition for control of shipping lanes and mineral extraction in the region.\n\nIn Antarctica, research from the United States\' Palmer Station on the Antarctic Peninsula has found that \"87 percent of the peninsula\'s land-bound glaciers are in retreat,\" reported OurAmazingPlanet.\n\nDecreasing sea ice levels were also addressed in a recent spoof of Shell\'s plans to drill for oil in the Arctic this summer. (credit:ARCTICREADY.COM)
Crazy Sugar Highs(25 of25)
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Climate change has already impacted sugarcane production in Indonesia. \n\nIn late 2011, the chairman of the Indonesian Sugarcane Farmers Association said, \"sugarcane production decreased by up to 30 percent in 2011 due to climate change that has occurred since 2009.\" \n (credit:ShutterStock)
The Earth From Above
Lake Nasser(01 of11)
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Egypt\'s Lake Nasser was photographed in January 2005 from the International Space Station. (credit:NASA)
Sahara Desert(02 of11)
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Tassili n\'Ajjer National Park, part of the Sahara Desert, has a bone-dry climate with scant rainfall, yet it doesn\'t blend in with Saharan dunes. Instead, the rocky plateau rises above the surrounding sand seas. This image from 2000 was made from multiple observations by the Landsat 7 satellite, using a combination of infrared, near-infrared and visible light to better distinguish among the park\'s various rock types. (credit:NASA)
Hydrogen Sulfide and Dust Plumes on Namibia's Coast(03 of11)
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Cloudless skies allowed a clear view of dust and hydrogen sulfide plumes along the coast of Namibia in early August 2010. Multiple dust plumes blow off the coast toward the ocean, most or all of them probably arising from stream beds. Unlike the reddish-tan sands comprising the dunes directly south of the Kuiseb River, the stream-channel sediments are lighter in color. Wind frequently pushes dust plumes seaward along the Namibian coast. (credit:NASA)
Islands of Four Mountains(04 of11)
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The snow-capped volcanoes composing the Islands of the Four Mountains in Alaska\'s Aleutian Island chain look suspiciously like alien worlds in this August 2010 image from the ASTER camera aboard NASA\'s orbiting Terra satellite. (credit:NASA)
Sarychev Volcano(05 of11)
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Astronauts at the International Space Station captured this striking view of the Sarychev volcano on Russia\'s Kuril Islands in an early stage of eruption on June 12, 2009. Sarychev Peak is one of the most active volcanoes in the Kuril Islands chain. (credit:NASA)
Arctic Eclipse(06 of11)
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NASA\'s Terra satellite was rounding the top of the globe -- making its way from the eastern tip of Siberia and across the Arctic Ocean toward northwest Russia -- when it captured this unique view of a total solar eclipse on Aug. 1, 2008. In the area shown in the image, the sun was obscured for about two minutes. As Earth rotated, the shadow moved southeast across the surface. At the same time, the satellite crossed the Arctic with its path nearly perpendicular to the eclipse.\n (credit:NASA)
Fargo(07 of11)
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The Advanced Land Imager on NASA\'s Earth Observing-1 satellite shows a snowy blanket over Fargo, N.D., on Dec. 12. (credit:NASA)
Island Beauty(08 of11)
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The south end of Eleuthera Island in the Bahamas shimmers in turquoise waters in this 2002 photo from the International Space Station. (credit:NASA)
Massive Sandstorm(09 of11)
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A massive sandstorm sweeps over Qatar as it races south toward southeastern Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates on Feb. 15, 2004. A major upper-level, low-pressure system over southwestern Asia led to a series of storms sweeping through the area. The crew of the International Space Station captured this image with a digital camera using a 50-millimeter lens. (credit:NASA)
Lake Naivasha, Kenya(10 of11)
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Flowers grow year round in sun-drenched Kenya, and nowhere are they more plentiful than Lake Naivasha, shown here. In this view from space, bright white squares mix with fields of green, tan and purple along the shores of the lake. Sunlight glints off the long rows of glass greenhouses, turning them silvery blue and white. Fallow fields are tan and pink, while growing plants turn the ground bright green. Roses, lilies and carnations are the most common flowers grown in the greenhouses and fields scattered around the lake. (credit:GSFC / METI / ERSDAC / JAROS / NASA)
Cumulonimbus Cloud Over Africa(11 of11)
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High above the African continent, tall, dense cumulonimbus clouds, meaning \"cloud heap\" in Latin, are the result of atmospheric instability. The clouds can form alone, in clusters or along a cold front in a squall line. The high energy of these storms is associated with heavy precipitation, lightning, high wind speeds and tornadoes. (credit:NASA)