トランプ氏、共和党で勝利してもクリントン氏には勝てない?(世論調査)

今投票が行われた場合、共和党の有力ライバルであるテッド・クルーズ氏とマルコ・ルビオ氏のいずれとの一騎打ちでも勝利することができる。
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Reuters

[ワシントン 21日 ロイター] - ロイター/イプソスが21日実施した米大統領選共和党候補指名争いをめぐる世論調査によると、指名争いをリードする不動産王ドナルド・トランプ氏は、仮にきょう投票が行われた場合、有力ライバルのテッド・クルーズ氏とマルコ・ルビオ氏のいずれとの一騎打ちでも勝利することができる。ただ、民主党の最有力候補であるヒラリー・クリントン前国務長官を打ち破ることはできない、という結果になった。

トランプ氏とテキサス州選出のクルーズ上院議員が共和党予備選で対決したという想定では、トランプ氏が41%の支持を獲得。クルーズ氏は31%だった。残る28%はこの顔ぶれならば棄権すると答えた。

フロリダ州選出のルビオ上院議員と対決した場合、トランプ氏の40%に対し、ルビオ氏は34%の支持率だった。約27%は棄権すると答えた。

共和党候補の中で首位を守ってきたトランプ氏だが、民主党のクリントン氏ときょう大統領選で1対1で対決したという想定では、クリントン氏の支持率が40%となり、トランプ氏は29%だった。

回答者の8%がどちらを支持するかわからないと答え、14%がいずれにも投票しない、9%が棄権すると答えた。

調査は各政党の投票者と見込まれる1627人を対象に12月16─21日に実施。誤差は2.8─3.7%ポイント。

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